Alternative futures, choices and uncertainties by E. Victor Niemeyer

Cover of: Alternative futures, choices and uncertainties | E. Victor Niemeyer

Published by Electric Power Research Institute .

Written in English

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StatementNiemeyer, E. Victor.
The Physical Object
Pagination$0.00 C.1.
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL17587521M
ISBN 1088104362

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Pivotal Countries, Alternate Futures is a necessary how-to for practitioners operating at the front lines of business and politics." --Ian Bremmer, President, Eurasia Group and author of Superpower " Pivotal Countries, Alternate Futures will appeal to readers who are interested in foreign policy decision making and, to a lesser extent, those 4/5(1).

Choices and uncertainties book shelved as alternative-future: The Handmaid's Tale by Margaret Atwood, Alternative futures Testaments by Margaret Atwood, by George Orwell, The Long Way to a.

alternative futures. Scenarios are Created Through an “Outside-In” Approach Scenario planning begins with an “outside-in” view, in order to identify and plan for the external influences and uncertainties that will have a significant impact on the company’s choices.

Anna Pitoniak is the author of The Futures and Necessary People. She worked for many years in book publishing, most recently as a Senior Editor at Random House.

She worked for many years in book publishing, most recently as a Senior Editor at Random House/5(). Alternative Futures Analysis as a Complement to Planning Processes for the Use of Military Land Article (PDF Available) in Air and Space Power Journal Fall January with Reads.

Alternative Futures Analysis: The Process Alternative Futures Analysis: The Process ¾Identify framing issues and critical uncertainties that face a region ¾Develop scenarios; spatially allocate alternative futures in a GIS framework; assess impacts Identify framing issues and critical uncertainties that face a regionFile Size: 5MB.

This is a disturbing, if not prescient, book. As the title makes clear, Frase outlines 4 possible post-capitalism futures: 1. A utopia of equality and abundance envisioned by Keynes in which all share in the fruits of a society without work. The idea of the elimination of work, while popular, seems ill considered/5.

Clarify your uncertainties. What could happen in the future and how likely is it that it will. Think hard about your risk tolerance. When decisions involve uncertainties, the desired consequence may not be the one that actually results. A much-deliberated bone marrow transplant may or may not halt cancer.

Consider linked decisions. Alternative A has projected revenue per year of $, and costs of $70, while Alternative B has revenue of $, and costs of $60, Both projects require an initial investment of $, of which $75, has already been set aside and will be used as a down payment on the project that is chosen.

A core principle for thinking about the future is that it is plural: Rather than a single future, there are countless possible alternative futures (Dator ; de Jouvenel ; Masini ).

Plural futures are foreign to our normal pattern of speaking and thinking (May ). In everyday English usage, we refer to “theAuthor: David N. Bengston. The Informed Health Choices (IHC) Project was initially developed between and by a collaboration including some of the co Cited by: 2.

Introduction. The concept “Anthropocene” was originally choices and uncertainties book as a geological epoch in which humans have become a dominant driver of Earth System change (Crutzen, ).In recent years, the use of the term has broadened to signify (1) the novelty of the time period in which humans find themselves as a result of this; (2) the novel challenges, opportunities and uncertainties Cited by: develop alternative outcomes.

In fact, many of the techniques will do some combination of these Alternative futures. However, analysts will want to select the tool that best accomplishes the specific task they set out for themselves. Although application of these techniques alone is no guarantee of analytic precision or accuracy of judgments, it does improveFile Size: KB.

An Alternative Futures Approach to Planning for School Systems An uncertain future is one thing administrators can be certain of, but the ED QUEST model can help them plan more effectively for what may lie ahead.

Photograph hy Edward A W ynne Before a district actually begins the ED QUEST process, its newly formed planning team spends. Alternative Futures is a development research and communication group working on creative and meaningful policy, social and technological alternatives and innovations for development and social change.

We look at change in a holistic manner, even. Branch Points: Global Scenarios and Human Choice vii usual Reference variant, the problem of resolving the social and environmental stress arising from global population and economic growth is.

Solar Versus Nuclear: Choosing Energy Futures study is an eight-chapter text that studies the long-term implications of Sweden's decisions to explore nuclear energy and other alternative development options.

the Familiar Futures, which are mediated by images and imaginings of the future(s), from data-driven projections to science fiction; and; the Unthought Futures, which are not unthinkable but rather a horizon where something always remains unthought, which is to say that it is populated with seemingly infinite alternative ion: City University, London.

A distinct feature of this book is that it is written from an Indian perspective and thus covers many issues regarding futures and options that are specific to the Indian market. An in-depth look at futures and options strategies and information related to /5(4).

sarily accompanying each alternative. Sequential nature of decisions. Rarely is one decision completely uncoupled from other decisions. Choices today affect both the alternatives available in the future and the desirability of those alternatives.

Indeed, many of our present choices Cited by:   I'd recommend first asking yourself why you think you can make money trading from a (presumably) retail account. Anyone trading the markets from a retail account makes at least one of these implied assumptions: 1.

I'm smarter/harder working/etc. We explored the implications of various trends and discontinuities over the near term (5 years) and long term (20 years).

We made extensive use of analytic simulations to explore future trajectories and developed multiple scenarios to describe how key uncertainties and emerging trends might combine to produce alternative futures. Futures and Options 18 - 33 4. Trading, Clearing and Settlement 34 - 62 themselves against uncertainties arising out of fluctuations in asset prices.

By their very wider choice of risk management strategies, and 5. Innovations in the derivatives markets, which optimally combine the risks and returns. The definitive guide to derivatives markets, updated with contemporary examples and discussions.

Known as “the bible” to business and economics professionals and a consistent best-seller, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives gives readers a modern look at derivatives markets. By incorporating the industry’s hottest topics, such as the securitization and credit /5(21).

Book Review: 'The Futures,' By Anna Pitoniak Anna Pitoniak's novel follows Evan and Julia, newly-minted Yale graduates trying — and finding it difficult — to make new lives for themselves in. Commodity futures and options are highly leveraged vehicles that trade on highly volatile assets. Therefore, always be sure to have a plan and stick to that plan.

Books on day trading can be very helpful, but no book can teach the discipline that a day trader needs to be successful. Futures literacy enables us to become aware of the sources of our hopes and fears, and improves our ability to harness the power of images of the future, to enable us to more fully appreciate the Author: Nicklas Larsen.

Yet, the best technique focuses on identifying combinations of potential drivers and key uncertainties to explore not a linear extension of a singular future but alternative paths. This “multiple futures” approach is a technique ideal for confronting uncertainty in strategy and in anticipating has used this process in the past.

Online Section of the Choices Program website, s. edu/scholars. The four Futures are not intended as a menu of choices. Rather, they are framed in stark terms to highlight very differ-ent policy approaches. Each alternative includes a set of poli-cies on specific issues, an overview of the beliefs that underlie.

futures market. I am not concerned with schemes for fore­ casting the market, but rather with the policies that underlie the decision to make use of the market.

Economic risk and uncertainty are not the same thing. One of the early inquiries in this field was that of Frank H.

Knight in his book, Risk Uncertainty and Profit. He said:File Size: 1MB. Randomness and uncertainty play increasingly greater roles in determining business success, largely because of rapidly evolving social networks. Future work can also usefully situate the types of moral reasoning and social choice embodied in alternative approaches to decision support.

In his treatise, the Idea of Justice, Amartya Sen () describes two classes Cited by: 4. Futures techniques used in the multi-disciplinary field of futurology by futurists in Americas and Australasia, and futurology by futurologists in EU, include a diverse range of forecasting methods, including anticipatory thinking, backcasting, simulation, and visioning.

Some of the anticipatory methods include, the delphi method, causal layered analysis, environmental. A Trader’s Guide to Futures CME Group offers the widest range of tradable products available anywhere — all on a single platform: interest rates, stock indexes, currencies, agriculture, energy, metals (industrial and precious) and alternative investment products, such as.

for Alternative Futures (IAF) developed a set of four alternative scenarios of public health in the year These consider the range of forces, challenges, and opportunities shaping public health in the U.S.

Leaders in public health,File Size: 1MB. Three recently published books offer past, present and possible future views of the country. Sundeen writes that their choices have been not just “alternative. There’s a lot of questions phrased as “What’s the best?” and “How can I?” when it comes to trading.

I don’t believe another person can answer those questions for you. You see, there’s a whole lot of ways to become a successful trader. I chose th. “Risk management” is a term used to describe processes surrounding choices about risky alternatives.

In common usage, assessments of the risks and benefits of various options are seen as technical activities that yield information for decision makers, whose decisions are called risk management decisions (National Research Council, a).

Question: Question 1 (1 Point) The More Time There Is, The Less Its Effect On The Value Of Wealth. True False Question 2 (1 Point) Time Creates Risks, Uncertainties, Opportunities, And Opportunity Costs. True False Question 3 (1 Point) Cash Flows In The Future Are Liquid. The estimated transaction value is a multiple of Choice's tangible book value as of Ma and equates to approximately x Choice's.

Epidemic accelerates changes in the future of work and lifestyles COVID spawned the world’s largest-ever social experiment: millions of people in countries such as Author: Bastiane Huang.Futures Through Choices Inc.

low-income and/or disadvantaged individuals with a focus on the developmentally disabled within Salt Lake, Davis, Weber, Box Elder and Cache Counties.

Futures Through Choices inc. was established in as an IRS approved (c) (3) charitable not-for-profit corporation.The Futures Forecasting Engine (FFE): An Online Methodology for Anticipating Alternative Futures Dan J.

Wedemeyer, Ph.D. Visiting Fellow, East West Center Professor, University of Hawaii, Manoa [email protected] Introduction This paper addresses the need for anticipating alternative futures and describes a methodology for doing so.

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